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Iraq Casualties and Public Opinion, 2003

Here’s a very low-res, preliminary version of the animation I am working on to map casualties from the Iraq war with public opinion over time. The opinion variable is the percent of respondents from...

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Are Casualty Statistics Reliable?

The question posed in the title is obviously too broad to be addressed in a single post, but the short answer is “no.”* This has been an unfortunate awakening for me, since I got into the study of...

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Profile of a Conflict Statistician

BALL IS 46, STOCKY, SHORT, and bearded, with glasses and reddish-brown hair, which he used to wear in a ponytail. His manner is mostly endearing geek. But he is also an evangelist, a true believer in...

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Afghanistan Casualties Over Time and Space

The data comes from the Defense Casualty Analysis System for Operation Enduring Freedom. Here it is over time: Notice the seasonality of deaths in Afghanistan, likely due to the harsh winters. Here is...

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